Kotulukira dollar chiyani?

Tiyeni tiyambe ndi mbiri. Pa nkhondo yachiwiri ya padziko lonse anagwirizana mayiko unakhazikitsidwa pansi pa dzina la dongosolo Bretton Woods. Mfundo yaikulu ya izo zinali izi: dola wakhala ndalama padziko lonse ndipo mothandizidwa ndi golide. Kachitidwe anali wolimba mpaka nineties oyambirira, iwo usanakhale amadalira bwino okwanira ndi akumufuna. Kuyambira nthawi imeneyo dollar limatuluka. Ndipo ikukula mosalekeza, pamene mukupitiriza kukhala waukulu malo ndalama za mabanki ambiri m'dzikoli, kuphatikizapo mu Russia.

kotulukira dollar chiyani? Kuchepetsa (ndipo nthawi zina ngakhale Kupha) m'maiko ena chuma (kuphatikizapo BRIC) kutsogolera kugulitsa ndalama madola. Izi basi kumawonjezera kufunika kwa dola. Wina woyandikana - zogulitsa ndi Zachuma US kumangidwa yake. Chuma US apitiriza kukhala waukulu mu dziko, monga chitsanzo cha ena.

anthu a ku America mwina wofuna kwambiri. Ndi Mbali imeneyi zimathandiza inu mwamsanga kutuluka mavutowo. Ndipo ndi khalidwe limeneli kuuzira Chikhulupiriro ndalama 'mu mphamvu ya ndalama US, nchifukwa chake dola ndi kuwuka. Kumene, iwo amapezeka yomwe vuto lililonse, chuma amakopa diso la ndalama amphamvu padziko lonse. Ndipo ndi mfundo imeneyi zimathandiza kuti kulankhula za bata mu zinthu zonse.

Pitani patsogolo. Chilamulo cha kuchuluka koyenera kwa katundu ndi ndalama zomwe mankhwala zikhoza kugulidwa, penapake kusinthidwa. Tsopano iye amaipidwa ndi mitengo kuika kuwombola. Koma ndithudi amadziwika kuti titsimikize ndi Kusinthanitsa.

Zikuoneka kuti vuto US Sichinatsitsidwe alakwa. Apanso, izo anaona bankirapuse, ulova ndi kuchepekedwa bajeti. Koma chinali dollar makamaka pachimake ankanena za vutoli. Chododometsa? Ayi. Mwakumvetsa zimayambitsa mlingo kukula, ife adzayankha funso lofunika chifukwa dollar likukula.

Ngati pansi pa zikhalidwe izi chuma US anapitiriza kukula, dola akanatero chabe wokwera. Koma zinthu zina ndi mbali ya counterweight: kugwa mitengo mafuta, pali kuchepa kwa chuma m'mayiko ena onse.

Koma mtengo wa ndalama ukunkirankira. Chifukwa chiyani? Makampani ataya chidwi mu mtengo kugwa kwa mafuta, kuti anazimitsa mu dollars. Dola, monga chofunika ndi, anazindikira ndi dziko lonse lapansi, wakhala dzi basi chifukwa cha mtengo wake otsika nthawi imeneyi. Izi anapempha kuti n'chifukwa chiyani dola ikukula, koma osati yuro? Ndi yosavuta: yuro - ndalama wokongola, koma dollar mu khadi lipenga - zaka zakubadwa kukhulupirirana ndi kuzindikira, ngakhale ndi kugwa, adzakhalabe kwambiri mu dziko. Komanso, mndandanda wa nongole salola US kupita zinatha. Onse zimagwirizizirana kufotokoza kusintha njala ndalama ndi moyenera, kukula kwa mitengo ndalama.

Ntchito imeneyi angaonere chitsanzo cha ruble-dollar. Pazaka 2012 pamene ruble zachilendo kukana Bank ku Central kubwera pafupifupi 18%, kupitiriza kugwa zina. Chifukwa dollar ndi kukwera, ndi ruble akugwa, ndipo nthawi asiye njira zimenezi? Chifukwa banki chapakati sasamala za kugwa kwa ndalama mitundu - ndi ruble?

Akatswiri ambiri a zachuma amanenanso za mavuto European ngongole ndi kuchepetsedwa kufunika kwa mafuta. Koma ichi ndi chochepa cha choonadi. Maziko a zachuma Russian - zogulitsa kunja. Mtendere wa gawo lino akhale, chiphunzitso, ntchito №1. Koma zonse zimene Waogula Zinthu Kunja yekha pa dzanja, koposa kuti mbali yaikulu kale analandira ndalama kuchokera zogulitsa kunja ndi kunja. Ndipo mfundo imeneyi zimathandiza kuti apange khushoni wa chitetezo ndalama zapadera 18-20% (kapena kuposa).

Pa nthawi yomweyo, ndipo chilango chake ndi speculators chuma, chidwi ndi ndalama mosavuta pa masewero mu chiwongola dzanja. "Capital ndege" ndi kukambirana kwambiri, makamaka kukopa kwa kunja ngongole dollar. Ndipo ngakhale iwo pang'ono psevdokreditami makampani awo zikawonongeka, iwo massively kuuzimitsa. Mu mavuto ngongole boma anali kusunga kunja buku womwewo wa nkhokwe boma pofuna kupewa kuukira kusalankhula pa ruble lapansi. Kupha payekha ngongole ndalama pang'ono wosamangidwa ndi manja, kuchotsa kufunika eni ndalama mu West, n'kubweretsa mwa zotheka kukantha ndalama zawo boma. Ndipo ndi - phindu iwiri: rubles pa dollar mu CB ndi wamkulu, ndi nkhokwe boma kale sangathe kuyanjana ndi kugwa zotheka kwa chuma cha Kumadzulo. Choncho, ngati stolidly kuonera Bank ku Central kwa ogula njuga dollar, ndiyotani pakuchotsa "pepala yachilendo akuda." Komabe, ndi 30,76 ruble mosavuta "kudumpha" mpaka 40 pa dola, m'mene adakonda ngozi kungolandira.

Tsopano tiyeni tibwerere ku dziko lonse. Kuti imatiuza yokha mu malo oyamba? Full kugwirizana kayendedwe ka zinthu za misika onse. Ndi kukula kwa dollar ukugwa yuro, mgwirizano, mafuta, golide. Ndipo chifukwa - padziko: US ndalama zinamuthera. Kumene, mungathe kusindikiza iwo, koma vuto la United States kuti bwino sasintha: kufunika refinance kulowetsedwa akunja, njira yokha m'malo ena mangawa ena akunja. Payenera kukhala dongosolo bwino kwa ntchito ya US Federal Reserve - mabanki a US - mabanki European - bajeti US. Free ndalama ku mabanki European sakhala, ndi Bank chapakati ku Ulaya, kukwanitsa nkhani, pa zifukwa zina, anali wodekha kulowa makina anu. States kugwedeza kunja oyima zonse pofuna kupewa kugwa kusalankhula a dola, kukhetsa liquidity m'misika onse ndi maiko. Ichi ndi yankho lina kwa funso la chifukwa dollar likukula.

N'zotheka kuti pamene inu muyenda pa makina osindikizira a ECB kuti ziziyenda zinthu. Ife dikirani ...