Kukula kugunda

Analysis kusintha mwamphamvu mu mphamvu ikuchitika mwa zizindikiro kuchita milingo kufanizitsa. Zikuphatikizapo zotsatirazi: mlingo wa kukula, phindu mtheradi gawo la kukula kukula mtheradi. Pakuti kuwunika summative wa mphamvu zochitika ntchito ndi zaka. chodabwitsa zizindikiro mphamvu kusanthula akhoza kumatanthauza pa zapansi variable kapena amodzi m'munsi chitsanzo. A mlingo ofanana Nkhani akutchedwa, ndi mlingo pa zomwe sizikugwirizana ikuchitika, amatchedwa mlingo zofunika.

The kukula kugunda limasonyeza bwanji peresenti kwambiri wotsatira index nambala poyerekeza ndi yapitayi kapena mlingo woyambilira. M'mawu ena, pansi mlingo kukula kuonjezera kumvetsetsa mfundo iliyonse chuma pa nthawi zina, nthawi zambiri chaka.

The mawerengedwe ndiyo njira motere: Tp = yn / yn-1. mlingo uwu tingasonyezere monga kuchuluka kapena chiŵerengero. Kupeza posonkhanitsa deta peresenti ayenera chifukwa kuchulukitsa ndi 100%. kukula kugunda akhoza yekha ndi chiwerengero positive.

Unyolo komanso secrete kukula kugunda ndi ndalama zofunika kukula. Monga mmene taonela kale, kuti ziyenera a mphamvu poyerekeza ndi maziko amodzi mulingo uliwose ayenera poyerekeza ndi maziko omwewo. Monga momwe ziriri pano akhoza kugwiritsidwa ntchito kapena mlingo koyamba mu mphamvu ya mzere anasankha, kapena mlingo pa zimene angayambitsire siteji ya chitukuko cha chodabwitsa pansi kuphunzira. Indicators, masamu motere amatchedwa zofunika. Mu mawerengedwe a variable m'munsi wotsatira mlingo wa chiwerengero cha okamba kulinganizidwa ndi amene m'mbuyomu. akalozera Awa ndi unyolo. Pakati pa zofunika kukula ndi unyolo kukula ubwenzi alipo. Ngati inu kuchulukitsa mfundo zonse kukula unyolo motsatizana, mankhwala adzakhala wofanana ndi m'mene ziriri pano chiŵerengero kwa kusanthula nthawi yonse. Komanso, anagawa koyefishienti zofunika wotsatira ku nambala yapita payekha ndi wofanana chiŵerengero lolingana wa chizindikiro unyolo.

zachuma

Padziko lonse kukula zachuma limodzi ndi kusintha kachulukidwe ndi Mkhalidwe anthu, Pakati chofunika kwambiri - structural kusintha. M'mayiko amene kale anayamba njira ya chitukuko mofulumira chuma, koposa zonse, yodziwika ndi mafakitale, kuchepa mu gawo la GDP la nchito za ulimi, kukwera kwa madzi a maphunziro, kuchepetsa umbuli, kuwonjezeka mu moyo zaka zambiri.

Pa mlingo wa bwino chuma zimakhudza mtundu wa bwino chuma. Mu kusintha kwa kukula kugunda kwambiri mwina kuchepetsedwa poyerekeza ndi yaikulu. Koma sizitanthauza slowdown zachuma kapena mavuto. Pamene yaikulu mtundu chuma anakhalabe structural khalidwe, kutalika, anayamba m'lifupi. Ndi tima mtundu wa chuma ikukula osati chifukwa cha kukula kwa ulimi, komanso chifukwa cha kukonzanso pang'onopang'ono. Njira yothetsera vutoli ndiye chifukwa chake mlingo wa kuwonjezeka amakhala ankawonjezereka. Komanso, mlingo wa kukula si nthawi yoyenera pamene zimalimbikitsa msika. Pankhaniyi, chitukuko amaperekedwa ndi kusintha kwa sayansi, kuti mosalephera. Chakale kupanga umisiri watsopano ndi zinthu zatsopano ndi mlingo watsopano wa khalidwe ndi dzuwa.

zachuma Russia

Malinga ndi unduna wa Development Economic, kukula GDP mochedwa kuti 1.9% poyerekeza November chaka chatha ku November chaka chino. Mu October, ndi kukula kugunda ndalama kunali 2.3%, ndipo mu September - 2.7%. Mlingo wa pachaka wa kuchepa poyerekeza ndi miyezi isanu ndi umodzi wotsiriza.

Nthawi kuchokera January kwa November, mlingo wa dziko kukula zachuma anafika 3.5%. Pa mlingo woyamba theka anali 4.5%.