Monga ndege lidzaonekera mu 2050

Makampani ndege amafuna kuti kasanu ndi kawiri kuwonjezeka ndege ndi 2050 - ndi kuwonjezereka kanayi mu mpweya mpweya woipa, ngati kanthu lalikulu Sadadzipangire. Koma kuopsa zonsezi akhale ndi zimene kusintha kapangidwe ndege, kupita? Lidzaonekera ndege zaka 35?

kachulukidwe batire

Chinthu chofunika kwambiri kuonetsetsa kuti makampani ndege wakhala kwambiri zachilengedwe wochezeka ndi electrification lathunthu la ndege onse malonda. Izi zikutanthauza ziro zizindikiro za mpweya zoipa m'mlengalenga, komanso makonzedwe a ndege mphamvu ochokera ku wapadera kuti inunso mphamvu okha. Akuluakulu zopinga sayansi kuti ayenera kuthetsa - ndi osalimba batire, chizindikiro chimene chimasonyeza kuchuluka kwa mphamvu akhoza kupangidwa kwa kulemera ena a batire la. Executive Director Tesla ananena kuti mwamsanga pamene batire la, angathe kubala 400 Watt-maola pa kilogalamu, ndi mphamvu ya chiŵerengero foni ya kulemera okwana pafupifupi 0.7-0.8, magetsi transcontinental ndege adzatha chikukwaniritsidwa. Popeza chakuti mabatire lifiyamu-ion atha kukwaniritsa osalimba a 113 Watt-maola pa kilogalamu mu 1994, 202 Watt-maola pa kilogalamu mu 2004 ndipo panopa ali osalimba ndi pafupifupi 300 Watt-maola pa kilogalamu, zikhoza kapadera kuti mu zaka khumi zotsatira, iwo mwina kufika osalimba a 400 Watt-maola pa kilogalamu.

mtengo vutoli

Mbali ina ayenera kukhala dontho kwambiri mitengo dzuwa gululi, amene ali kale ndi wotchipa mawonekedwe a mphamvu m'mayiko ambiri patsogolo. Zikuyembekezeka 70 peresenti kuchepetsa mtengo wa mabatire lifiyamu-ion ndi 2025 ndi kuwonjezeka mofulumira mitengo mafuta ndege pogwiritsa ntchito palafini, kungachititse kuti vutoli ndi lalikulu mtengo wa yokonza ndege pakompyuta ndi ochiritsira, amene nawonso, adzakhala kwambiri akukondera ndege makampani electrification .

Biofuels mu nthawi kuyembekezera

Komabe, ngati ife kuganizira mfundo yakuti pafupifupi moyo amayembekezeka mwakwera katundu ndege ndi 21 ndi 33 zaka, motero, ngakhale onse ndege yatsopano opangidwa lero, adzakhala pakompyuta, wathunthu kusalandira Jets mafuta angatenge zaka makumi awiri ndi atatu . Choncho muyenera kulabadira chakuti biofuels kupereka kuchepetsa kwambiri mpweya zinthu zoipa (kuchokera 36 monga mmene 85 peresenti, amene kumadalira ngati mafuta wamkulu pansi a). Ndipo kuyambira kusintha kwa mafuta wina ndi mzake ndi wosavuta, ndi chandamale wapamtima amene ali n'kwaphindu pamaso pa kukana kwathunthu injini mkati kuyaka mu ndege.

mavuto

Komabe, anapatsa chakuti ndege kuthamanga zosakaniza muyezo ndi biofuel anali mbiri yabwino mu 2009, makampani ndege ndi mofulumira palibe kusintha chinachake. Mfundo yakuti pali mavuto sayansi ndi vuto kuwonjezeka yopanga biofuels pamlingo malonda. Koma chopunthwitsa chachikulu akadali mtengo - chifukwa mafuta muyezo Zatsala yotsika mtengo, mtengo ndi muyezo ndi mlingo osachepera khumi zaka.

The ndondomeko ya kuyambitsa umisiri

Mawu oyamba a luso lililonse latsopano ndege - ndi ndithu ndondomeko zovuta, womwenso kafukufuku, kamangidwe zina zachidule, kuyezetsa ndi zovuta ndondomeko ya kaphatikizidwe. Ndipo zimatengera zambiri osachepera zaka khumi. Choncho, chifukwa chakuti kukana kwathunthu injini mkati kuyaka makampani ndege chikhonza kuchitika pokhapokha ndi pakati pa zaka zino anzeru mfundo zachilengedwe ndi ndalama view amaona kufuna innovate m'madera ena: kamangidwe ka airframe, ndi zipangizo kuphunzira zigwiritsidwe ntchito yomanga ndi mpweya magalimoto kulamulira.

Kukhazikitsa mfundo linanena

Monga mukuonera, dziko kuona kusintha okhazikika kwambiri luso mosavuta. N'chifukwa chake anthu ayenera kupereka chitsanzo tsiku maganizo, kuti tanthauzo chuma tsopano zikupezeka kwa iwo, ndi ntchito molondola kuumba tsogolo la anthu. Pankhani ya mtengo wa kompyuta mphamvu bwinobwino kuti makompyuta m'kati mu ola limodzi koposa mu zaka zoyambirira nainte aliko. Poganizira chinthu ichi, zikhoza kapadera kuti yokwana kompyuta, yomwe tsopano ndalama zokwana madola masauzande ambiri mu 2023 kungakhale wamphamvu kuposa ubongo wa munthu, ndi mwa mwezi wa atumwi, iye mwina kuposa mphamvu ya ubongo zonse anthu anasonkhana pamodzi. Ndipo ngati ife kuwonjezera pamodzi chinawonjezeka kompyuta mphamvu ndi kuchepetsa kukula kwa makompyuta, tikhoza kuganiza kuti mu zaka khumi zotsatira adzakhala Integrated makompyuta kuti adzatha kulamulira bwinobwino ndege othawirako pompopompo.