Pa vutoli, Kazakhstan? Zimayambitsa mavuto mu Kazakhstan

Za mavuto a zachuma ku Kazakhstan Akatswiri amanena kuti chaka chachiwiri. Akuyesetsa kuchepetsa mavuto obwera chifukwa cha zinthu zoipa zokhudza ndalama umoyo wa dziko m'ma 2015 boma azindikira mavutowo. Kwenikweni, anali kudziŵika ndi mutsogoleli Nursultan Nazarbayev wa Republic. Pali kuwunika zosiyanasiyana za mmene zinthu ziliri mu dera chuma dziko, koma kudziŵa ngati pali mavuto, salinso ukuyimira lero mu Kazakhstan. Iye anamva, ndipo anthu wamba ndi ntchito paliponse, ndi owayimilira makampani. Mmodzi mwa akatswiri amakhulupirira kuti zinthu zidzakhala kuvutika mu zaka kudza, koma chuma ena kulasa ziyembekezo zawo kubwezeretsa ntchito za boma latsopanolo.

Features wa yadziko

Kufooka kwa m'munsi chuma Kazakhstan unaonekera mu 2008, ndipo kenako mu 2013. Kumlingo, kukula kwa ziriri pano ndi chifukwa mavuto amene ndiyakuti pa nthawi. Komabe, mavuto mu Kazakhstan mu 2015 ali ndi makhalidwe yake. Iwo amakhala ndi zimayambitsa zakunja zimene pamapeto, motsogoleredwa ndi aggravation zotsutsana mkati. Komanso, tiyenera kukumbukira lonse zamavuto, amene anakhudzidwa pafupifupi onse muzochitika. Malinga ndi kuzipenya wa akatswiri ali ndi vuto lalikulu Waogula Zinthu Kunja, komanso mamembala a mabizinesi ang'onoang'ono ndi sing'anga.

Chinthu chapadera wa yadziko anali Kuphunzira za gawo la chofunika. Pano mukhoza kuunikila mbali ziwiri basi. The choyamba - kachitidwe ambiri mu chuma padziko lonse - kusiya kwa wolowa gwero ndi cholinga pa msika zoweta, amene ali chopweteka chuma chilichonse. Ndipo Mfundo yachiwiri ndi chuma dziko kumagwirizana ndi Russia. Iwo akhoza Choncho anauza ayamba ku Kazakhstan mafuta mavuto mu 2015, zomwe zimakhudza ophunzira za dziko msika. Kumvetsetsa limatchula za mavuto anabwera ndi njira zotheka mwa m'pake tione zimene zimathandiza kuti chitukuko.

zimayambitsa kunja

Chimodzi mwa zifukwa zazikulu chifukwa Akatswiri ambiri amatcha US kusewera mu msika mafuta. Pa nthawi, American strategy ali ndi zolinga ziwiri: kulimbitsa ndalama zake mu dziko msika, komanso kuchepetsa dala za "wakuda" mitengo golide kufooketsa malo Russia. Pa nthawi yomweyo sitiyenera kuiwala za mavuto a dziko. Mu Kazakhstan, pali pafupifupi njira yomweyo zimene zimachitika mu Brazil ndi China. Ngakhale kusiyana zitsanzo zachuma, kukulitsa chofunika mafakitale amakhudza kuchepa kwa GDP. Makamaka, kusintha kumsika mkati zivute zitani kumabweretsa mavuto gawo ndalama. Zimenezi zikhoza kuoneka ngati zachilengedwe ndi koyenera kuti chuma chilichonse osauka. Koma pali zifukwa zina, chifukwa cha zomwe vutoli anauka.

zinthu mkati

Koma mbali ina akatswiri amakhulupirira kuti azidzadziwa kusamalira chuma kwachititsa kuti mavuto masiku ano Republic. zimayambitsa Internal ya mavuto mu Kazakhstan amagwirizana ndi dongosolo molakwika okwanira ndalama, omwe anapeza mu 2000s, ndi limakhala wa Boom zachuma. Pamene inu kulowa misika dera ndi dziko lonse kudzera WTO ndi Union Eurasian izo ayamba bwino kuti yopanga Chikazaki sangathe kuchita nawo mpikisano oopsa chifukwa obsolescence luso ndi sayansi.

Chinanso zimene zinapangitsa kuwonongeka kwa zinthu, izo zakhala boma alowererepo malonda. Zimenezi zinayamba mu 2005, pamene ang'ono ndi sing'anga-kakulidwe malonda kunja kumsika. Part wa kuwonjezeka mu gawo la m'boma kwachititsa chakuti lero mu Kazakhstan mavuto, zakhudza, ndi amalonda okha.

zinthu tikupanga

Izo zanenedwa za kugwirizana pafupi ya chuma Russian ndi vuto la ndalama dziko. Iwo zimakhudza mnansi lalikulu amachititsa kale zinthu ndale achititsa kuti aggravation za mmene chuma chikuyendera ku Kazakhstan. Makamaka izi ndi ziletso chomwecho, mosadziwika amadza kenako amachititsa mpikisano otsika Chikazaki mabizinezi, kukwera dollarization wa Finance ndipo sakhulupirira kuti anthu tenge lapansi. Ndiko kunena kuti Kazakhstan, mavuto ndi multidimensional monga akufotokozera mchikakamizo cha zinthu zonse chuma ndi ndale. Mu chilungamo tisaiwale kuti kungasokoneze mavuto a m'banja okhudza Russian chuma ndi mayiko ena okondedwa zimapezeka nzeru zina uzingopitirira limene pali khola m'munsi kwa kuchoka vuto.

Kodi n'chiyani chikuchitikira tenge chiyani?

mavutowo zinachititsa kuti dontho lakuthwa mu mtengo wa tenge ndi dola US. A masiku angapo pambuyo mawu a mutu wa mlingo Republic kuchuluka kwa 188 kwa 255 tenge pa dola. Koma mitengo, mavuto azachuma ku Kazakhstan pafupifupi osati anakhudzidwa ndi mankhwala chakudya, koma makina ndi zipangizo ananyamuka kwambiri.

Zina mwa zifukwa zikuluzikulu zomwe zinachititsa kuti kugwa kwa tenge, onani kusintha malamulo ndalama za Republic, amene Komabe, akhala analengezeratu. Mu zaka za m'ma 2015, ife tinalengeza chiyambi cha njira ndalama mfundo za malamulo atsopano mu boma. Chachikulu kusiyana pakati pa dongosolo kukonzedwa ndi chiyembekezo chakuti a gulu kusinthitsa ndalama ndi ufulu akuyandama kusinthitsa ndalama. Izi kamodzinso, chikutsimikizira kuti vutoli sizikutanthauza kusamvana mofulumira ndipo ukhoza kwa nthawi yaitali Kazakhstan. Mulimonsemo, Mutu wa boma ananena kuti mu zaka 5, mabwalo adzakhala pakalibe kukula mitengo chofunika.

Mapa tsogolo

Pali kuwunika osiyana cha m'mene ziriri pano, koma iwo onse amavomereza kuti osachepera zaka 2 kusintha zinthu tingayembekezere. Kale, pali zochitika monga kutsitsa GDP, kufufuma oposa 4% kuwonjezeka ulova, kukwera mitengo ndi kugwa mfundo wamoyo. Kuyankhula nkhani pamene vuto liri mu Kazakhstan zambiri Akatswiri amanena chiyambi cha ndondomeko ya kusintha ndi kuwonjezeka mitengo mafuta. Ambiri a akatswiri amafuna msika dziko zinalili mu uphungu gawo. Zili mu gawo ili zimadalira mmene chuma chikuyendera ku Kazakhstan.

Ngakhale nkhani yabwino kwambiri silinena kuchira mwamsanga chuma. Zizichulukirachulukira ntchito linanena bungwe kupanga katundu akhoza anazindikira patangopita zaka zochepa. N'zovuta kunena ngati mavuto adzakhala yaitali mu Kazakhstan. zambiri A kumatengera zifukwa kunja kupitirira pa ulamuliro wa boma la Kazakhstan. Komabe, ena khama vuto la Boma akadali akukonzekera kuzitsatira.

mwa mavuto kuchoka strategy

Pa nthawi, angapo anazindikira mapulani kuti "kuchira" wa chuma. Choyamba ndi zoyezera umalimbana kuchepetsa zotsatira zosasangalatsa kwa nzika za Kazakhstan. Kuti zimenezi zitheke, akuluakulu aboma akufuna kuchepetsa voliyumu ya malonda zongopeka mu ndalama msika ndi mwa kundipatsako ndalama mowa. Koma yankho la funso liti mavuto ndi mu Kazakhstan, akatswiri ambiri amalangiza kuganizira mu njira zakuya, kumvetsa zimayambitsa mkati cha chiyambi chake. Mwanjira imeneyi, ndi Dziwani gawo lachiwiri la strategy, amene umalimbana patsogolo mpikisano wa mankhwala a Republic.

The kudalira zamavuto pa chisankho US

Monga tikuonera 2012, zochitika za ndale ku West kukhale kothandiza kwambiri pa chuma cha m'dera Eurasian, zomwe zimabweretsa pamodzi Russia ndi Kazakhstan. Ndipo lero akatswiri, chimene chinthu zoopsa kuti kuchoka vuto ndi mtengo wa mphamvu, ankadziwa kufunika kwa chisankho mu United States. Komabe, mavuto a zachuma ku Kazakhstan sadzasintha malingana ndi kusintha kwa pulezidenti palokha, ndipo chikhalidwe ubale ndale, umene kupangidwa ina.

Pomaliza

Ngakhale zotsatira kuipa kwa vutoli, pakati pawo kuchepa miyezo ya moyo, n'kutheka kuti zina zabwino. Mwachitsanzo, kuyambira kuzindikira ake mutu wa Republic wakhala adawomba maganizo ambiri umalimbana patsogolo zizindikiro khalidwe la chuma. chakuti mavuto mu Kazakhstan mu 2015 wasonyeza mphamvu ya kupanga ofooka la dzikolo. Chopangidwa mankhwala ena kuposa mafuta ndi zipangizo, sikukutanthauza chidwi kwambiri msika European imene Republic anali Integrated, koma sanali anatha kupeza kufalikira. Mu nkhani ya kuzindikira bwino mapulogalamu anakonza ntchito thandizo ndi gawo kupanga, mwina, Kazakhstan adzatha kuthetsa mavuto mu zaka zikubwerazi, komanso kuti muchepetse zinthu zina zachuma.