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Kodi dollar kutuluka mu 2014? The Mapa ya dollar mu 2014
Chakumapeto 2013 ndi kumayambiriro kwa 2014 ruble anagwa kwambiri ndi dola. Koma ndi June zinthu, monga momwe malonda kujambula pa misika ndalama ya mayiko, panali zambiri mokomera banknotes Russian. Ndani wa mumaganiza kuti aganizire lofunika? Kodi dollar kutuluka mu 2014 m'miyezi ikubwerayi motsutsa ruble ndi ndalama za maiko ena a dziko?
zinthu lofunika chifooke ruble ndi
Market akatswiri a mayiko malonda ndalama, kuyesera kuti aone chiyembekezo cha ndalama Russian, amakuonani magulu awiriwa. Oimira woyamba ndikukhulupirira kuti ruble adakali kufooketsa m'tsogolo - monga izo zinachitika mu miyezi yoyambirira ya 2014. Iwo ankadana ndi akatswiri (makamaka akuluakulu aboma) amene amakhulupirira kuti palibe nkhawa sayenera za mlingo wa ndalama dziko. Pa nthawi yomweyo kanjedza ndi wosatsutsika: panthawi ina malonda dollar US anali ofunika 35 rubles ndi pamwamba, anafika highs mbiri.
Ndi chifukwa kuti ruble ndi palpable, "choviikidwa" n'chiyani? Akatswiri kuonetsetsa magulu angapo a zinthu. Choyamba, Bank ku Central ali kwambiri wofooka ulamuliro wa malonda ndalama ndi ruble. Choncho, popanda, ndalama Russian anali pang'ono ofooka kuposa pamaso pawo. Chachiwiri, kuchuluka kwa dola chinathandiza anthu a Russia mwachangu kugula ndalama American. Kachitatu, pali chidwi chinthu - boma wotuluka mfundo chuma view, ndi ruble ofooka n'kopindulitsa chifukwa chochuluka wolowa amagulitsidwa ndalama zakunja, makamaka monga nthawi madola US. Amalonda omwe mankhwala zimagulitsidwa kunja, ndi bajeti dziko okha omasuka chifukwa ruble kutaya phindu.
The Russian ruble ndi dola: ziwerengero Mapa
Mu Katswiri mabwalo amatchedwa zosiyanasiyana kanjedza kuwonetsa dollar zina cha 2014. Komabe, aliyense wa Zoneneratu n'komwe zifukwa zenizeni kwambiri, chimatipangitsa kuwuka kapena kugwa kwa ndalama. Kusiyana mu mtengo wa dola ndi masomphenya ruble Motero chifukwa cha kusiyana mu ziyenera a akatswiri, mmene zotheka wa zinthu zofunika kwambiri pa mtengo wa ndalama Russian. Mwachitsanzo, ngati mtengo wa mafuta kuchepetsedwa pa mtengo ziliri pa pang'ono pa $ 100 pa mbiya 80, ndi ruble, akatswiri kunena, n'kogwiritsa kugwa mu mtengo kwa mayunitsi 38-39 pa dola.
Ngati mtengo wa "golide wakuda" adzakhala apamwamba, ndi ndalama Russian ndi Mwina mkulu wa synchronous kuwuka mu mtengo. N'zochititsa chidwi kuti nzika za la Russia kukhazikitsa ndithu bwino. Monga posachedwapa kafukufuku maganizo, ku Russia mu misa mwachidwi kupitiriza zochitika devaluation.
Dola ndi dziko ndalama: a zachuma mawu
mabungwe Analytical ndi akatswiri amene akugwira ntchito pa America ndalama, kuyesera kudziwa zimene Kodi ziyembekezo za zolemba banki mu msika. Pakati pawo pali anthu amene amakhulupirira kuti ndi zomveka kupanga zabwino dollar Mapa cha 2014, osachepera.
Kwambiri mu masomphenya a kuwombola yachilendo chiyembekezo msika, akatswiri amanena, amadalira malonda ndi banknotes ena, makamaka pakati pa kilogalamu chabwino ndi yuro. Akatswiri ena US ndikukhulupirira izo Zikuoneka kuti ndalama British adzauka mtengo poyerekezera ndi "chokhala" chifukwa chakuti Bank chapakati European adzapitiriza kufooketsa malamulo a kulowelera mu ogulitsira malonda a. Dola adzauka, akatswiri amanena, mu ulemu wake Canada anzathu, ndi New Zealand komanso uthenga za mmene chuma m'mayiko izi si zabwino kwathunthu.
Kaya kukula dollar ndi lofunika kwambiri ruble chiyani?
Pali lomwe kugwa kwa malonda a ruble monga ndalama za malonda akutulukira chifukwa chakuti mu US - dziko ndi chuma waukulu kwambiri padziko lonse - zinthu zayamba kuyenda bwino kuti ndalama ndi molimba mtima dola. Padziko ndondomeko Tingaone mu Europe. msika Russian (komanso m'mayiko ena osauka) Zikatero, monga akatswiri ena amakhulupirira, wooneka zokwanira ndalama. Current chitukuko angathe chuma Russian, ndi kumbali ya mfundo imeneyi, wotopa - tiyenera kupanga latsopano, mabizinesi nzeru. Mwa ubwino msika Russian - bajeti moyenera pamaso pa nkhokwe lonse. Mafuta akatswiri kunena, ndi Mwina kakang'ono akhoza mtengo pansipa $ 100 mbiya. Choncho, kuwonjezeka mu dollar mu 2014 ndi ndalama Russian pa dzanja limodzi, ndi maziko a bwino chuma American, ndi pa zina - monga counterweight kwa mtendere wa msika Russian, amene ali nkhokwe madzi ndi zogulitsa kunja.
chinthu zachuma
Tiyeni tione chimodzi mwa zinthu kudziŵa kukula kwa dola ndi ndalama za m'mayiko osauka, kuphatikizapo ruble (ndipo nthawi zina - monga banknotes ndi maiko olemera) - tikulankhula zinapambana akwaniritsa kugonjetsa mavuto America. mabungwe a zachuma amene zogwirizana msika US, ndi ya mumaganiza zabwino, amalola nkhani za normalization wa zochitika mu chuma.
mfundo Monetary Kukhuta, akatswiri amakhulupirira, adzakhala mokwanira zofewa choncho abwino kukula kwa magawo pa kuphana katundu. Zachuma nsinga adzakhala ndi zokolola khola. Nawonso operekera msika European akusiyanako. Nsinga za mayiko ena yuro m'dera ayamba kupita. The Bank chapakati European akugwirizira, akatswiri amanena, osati ogwira kwathunthu ndalama ndondomeko.
Zoipa kwa nkhani "American"
M'ma June 2014 anapambana US Federal Reserve msonkhano pa mfundo ndalama zina. Nthawi imeneyo, pamene panali atolankhani mutu wa pa Reserve Federal, dola wagwa kwambiri mu mtengo. The Kukhuta anaganiza kuchepetsa ankayembekezera kanjedza kukula kwa zachuma US mu 2014, komanso kusiya kale kuwerengetsera wachibale 2015-2016 mu mphamvu. Mlingo wa kufufuma ndi zachuma kuyembekezera akale, ulova zinthu bwino penapake zingamuthandize.
Komabe, malonda US kuchepekedwa kuchuluka koposa kuyembekezera - makamaka, akatswiri amanena, chifukwa dontho la mu zogulitsa kunja. The Kukhuta akufuna kusunga mtengo wa chiwongola dzanja osachepera. Ena kusintha chosintha mu US akatswiri mfundo ndalama sayembekezera, choncho anthu ambiri angayerekeze kupereka Zoneneratu mbewuzi kwa dola. 2014 Choncho, sangakhale kwambiri kwa ndalama US mawu kupeza malo pa maiko ndalama otukuka, komanso mapaundi ndi yuro.
Zinthu zokhudza mlingo kuwombola
Kodi Mzimuyo mtengo msika wa ndalama dziko? ndondomeko ndi ofanana ndi mitengo katundu wina aliyense, limagwirira waukulu amasankha mtengo wa banknotes ochokera m'mayiko osiyanasiyana - ndi okwanira ndi akumufuna. Nayenso zikhalidwe za mapangidwe magawo a zochitika ziwirizi amadalira ena zinthu zina. Pakati pawo - yachilendo bwino malonda, ndilo issuer la ndalama, akuluakulu mfundo ndalama (mabanki chapakati), komanso zofunika ndale. Kaya nthawi imene mphamvu ananena za kukula kwa dollar - 2014 chaka kapena wina - malamulo awa ndi zogwirizana.
bwino malonda ena, monga mmodzi wa zinthu kiyi
Chikuonetseratu kuti ndalama dziko msika kunja kumatengera ubwino wolowa ya katundu ndi ntchito. Waogula Zinthu Kunja kwa kulipira kugwirizana ndi kupanga malonda ake, kugula ndalama national - malonda kwambiri kunja, ndi apamwamba, motero, kusowa kwa zoweta banki aganizira dziko ndi apamwamba mlingo wa ogulitsira malonda a. Ogula zakunja komanso kugula chinachake kunja ayenera zoona kuti kuwombola yachilendo.
Iwo apanga kufunika kwa iwo mu dzikoli. Tanthauzo kwambiri, m'pamenenso pali kufunika kwa zolemba bankiyo manambala ndipo m'munsi mlingo wa ndalama dziko. Pakuti dollar, malamulo onsewa ndi wovomerezeka. Choncho, ndalama ali potaya mosavuta ngati dollar kutuluka mu 2014, ndipo mwamphamvu chimene kuphunzira makamaka United States ziwerengero malonda yachilendo. Chinthu chofunika kwambiri kudziwa manambala mu malonda ndalama - malipiro muyezo wa boma. Ngati ndi zabwino, izo kumathandiza kuti mlingo kukula kwa banknotes anthu. Choncho, ngati choncho chuma US chaka chino zidzakuyenderani bwino, ndiponso moganizira adzakhala yodziwika ndi azimuth zabwino, dola kusinthitsa ndalama mu 2014 N'kutheka kuti ananeneratu monga mkulu.
Nkhani ya ndalama monga chinthu Maphunzirowa
Mitundu waukulu msika ndalama okwanira - yosindikiza ake ndi kupereka wa ngongole ku mabanki payekha, onse a mitundu ntchito ikuchitika ndi States ndi okhudzidwa ndi mabungwe a zachuma. Ngati kotunga ndalama mu chuma mofulumira, ndiye mphamvu ya kufunika kwa banknotes sangathe kuchita ndi izo, kotero izo zikhoza kutha mlingo kuwombola. Akatswiri kupanga Mapa dollar cha 2014, motero kuunikira ntchito yosindikiza mabuku banknotes American mabungwe a zachuma, komanso zochita zawo m'munda wa mseri kukongoza banki. Mwachitsanzo, mu vuto la 2008 , otchedwa Plan Paulson anavomerezedwa mu United States. Mu ntchito iyi, magombe anayenera kulandira ngongole ndi sheya ku mabungwe a zachuma - kusamba.
states ena nthawi zina njira zofanana - mwachitsanzo, mu Russia mpaka 2006, ankachita kuvomerezedwa tsankho kugulitsa zasungidwa kuwombola achilendo ndi Waogula Zinthu Kunja. Komanso, akuchita yosiyanasiyana alowererepo pa msika zoweta, magombe chapakati tingakhalebe mlingo wa ndalama zoweta chongopeka. Potaya mosavuta ngati kuonjezera dollar mu 2014 ndi ruble ndi Akatswiri a kuyang'ana njira Bank Central, mfundo Russia a poyerekezera alowererepo pa yobetcherana kuwombola yachilendo.
Ndalama ngati "malo achitetezo"
Mwa njira iliyonse ya mawerengedwe, chuma US - lalikulu ndi imodzi mwa khola kwambiri mu dziko. Choncho, dola ali malo yaikulu chidaliro pa gawo la ndalama kuchokera padziko lonse lapansi. Chinthu kwambiri - mbiri ya ndalama. Ndalama kwa zaka zambiri, ndipo pa nthawi yonse ya zolowa ake mu msika, anali imodzi mwa njira zikuluzikulu za malipiro lonse. Pali mawu akuti "otetezeka." Dola US izo ntchito ndi akatswiri ambiri mu malo oyamba (ngakhale banknotes wa mtundu uwu nthawi zambiri amatchedwa yen Japanese). ndalama amenewa amaonedwa monga mmodzi wa khola kwambiri zotsatira akaphatikiza zinthu zambiri. Choncho, ndalama akuyesetsa kuthana ndi ndalama za zipangizo Mwachitsanzo, misika zambiri kugulitsa katundu ndi chuma chawo ndi kusintha mu "malo achitetezo." Izi amalenga prerequisites n'kofunika kuti munthu yankho zabwino kwa funso ngati kuonjezera dollar mu 2014. "Inde," - Akatswiri amanena kwambiri kuzindikira udindo mbiri ya ndalama US, komanso kukula kwa chuma US.
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