Paris panganoli: pa kutentha dziko sayenera pamwamba pa madigiri 2

Mu December chaka chatha, onse tikhoza kuwona osowa zochitika za mgwirizano wa mayiko. Chenicheni nzeru Paris mgwirizano pa kusintha kwa nyengo, limene lalembedwa ndi oimira mayiko 195, ali ndi cholinga kuchepetsa likutentha. Malinga ndi chikalata ichi, kuti 2100, kutentha kwa padziko lonse mwina kuwuka ndi zosaposa 2 madigiri Celsius (kapena madigiri 3.6 Fahrenheit). Ngakhale Mfundo pangano limeneli ndiko Kupambana kwambiri kwa anthu, ena okayikira amanena kuti m'malo umasinthasintha malire kutentha. Ndipotu, kodi zinthu kuti dziko adzatha n'kudziphatika kwa dongosolo?

Kodi phunziro latsopano,

Phunziro latsopano imawunikidwa kudzipereka zotentha ndi maiko amene anasaina mgwirizano Paris, ndipo zotsatira alidi wabwino kwambiri. Nkhani zambiri ndi imodzi imene pa kutentha lonse kwenikweni limatuluka digiri 2.6-3.1 ndi 2100. Zinthu zinafika poipa, kuchuluka kwa mpweya zofunika kusintha kutentha 2 okha madigiri kuleka ake ndi 2030.

Paris mgwirizano anali kusintha maziko yaitali kusinthika kwa anthu otsika mpweya. Zimenezi zinanenedwa ndi Jerry rogeli - Anzake a Institute Mayiko kuti Akutsatira Systems Analysis ndi wolemba kuphunzira ndi patsogolo. Analysis asayansi zasonyeza kuti zonsezi chiyenera kulimbitsidwa kuonetsetsa mwayi wosunga likutentha pansipa madigiri 2.

tsanzo

Kafukufukuyo ankagwira ntchito zochitika zosiyanasiyana mpweya umuna potengera zitsanzo kompyuta alipo. Yotchuka kwambiri iwo zikusonyeza kuti Paris mgwirizano idzachitike ndipo adzapitiriza pambuyo 2030, pamene nyengo guaranty adzafika ku mapeto. N'zoonekeratu kuti anthu ayenera kupanga mabala kwambiri wofuna mu mpweya mpweya woipa kuposa anthu zafotokozeredwa pangano.

Asayansi amati pambuyo 2030 chofunika miyeso zambiri okhwima. Mmodzi wa iwo - kuchepetsa malasha lonse mpweya woipa ndi kuzungulira 3-4% pa annum. Izi, kumene, n'zotheka ndithu. Mwachitsanzo, China wayamba ntchito zikuluzikulu pa ntchito mphamvu mphepo. mayiko ena angathe kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu nyukiliya ndi zongowonjezwdwa, kuti kwambiri kuchepetsa mpweya.

mavuto ena

Mulimonsemo, phunziroli likutchula kugwirizana ndi Paris pangano dongosolo vuto lina. M'madera ambiri a dziko kale kuwonongeka mpaka kalekale zachitika, ndipo sadzasintha, ngakhale ngati tidzatha kusunga kutentha mkati madigiri awiri, kapena ayi.

Kafukufuku wina anapeza kuti m'madera ambiri a ku Middle East ndi Africa North sadzatha kukhalamo ndi zaka za m'ma chifukwa cha kutentha. Zimenezi sizisintha, kaya chakuti anthu akuyesera kutenga. Chitsanzo china - kozizira amveke. Wapadera climatological chodabwitsa kumpoto, imbaenda limatsogolera cha zipewa ayezi, kuwundana ndi ayezi nyanja ndi liwiro kuposa kale lonse. Agriculture sangathe msanga atengere chilengedwe, amene n'kumawotha mofulumira.

nkhani zonsezi zogwirizana pakali pano, kotero Paris mgwirizano sitingaleke kapena chedwetse. Izi, mwatsoka, zikutanthauza kuti anthu onse kusintha adzapitiriza, ngakhale pangano ndi cholinga chake.

tsogolo la dziko lapansi

Ngati mayiko ukuyaka mafuta okumba pansi, monga momwe zinalili mpaka tsopano, tsogolo la dziko - m'malo apocalyptic. Kozizira kutentha kwa madigiri 20 Celsius, pamene ena a dziko - theka la mtengo wake panopa. Izi zidzapangitsa kuti lonse. mofulumira m'nyanja mlingo, chifukwa m'mizinda yambiri ya m'mphepete mwa nyanja adzakhala anasefukira. Earth akadataya 17% chuma chawo okwana. Zimawawa anthu ambiri, koma Africa angakhale malo oipa kwambiri a zochitika analamula. Mukhoza ndipulumutse dziko lapansi, koma kwa ena nthawi zambiri mochedwa kwambiri.